Boston (CBS) – This is coming. After a week worth of warnings, snow maps, uncertain cones and shots, it’s time to hug it and ride out.

This is not a storm. I know, I know … we’re tough New Englanders, we ‘ve seen it all, listen to me. However this will not be your garden type blizzard. If possible, plan to stay home on Saturday. If you have to travel, travel early Saturday morning.

Step: Snow emergencies and parking restrictions

When the snow ends by Sunday, there will undoubtedly be long travel delays, which will last even into the beginning of next week. This takes a while to clean up. There is also a real risk of wind damage and power outages, especially on Cape Cod.

History in creation?

Storms of this size do not occur often. There was a blizzard on March 13, 2018, 4 years ago in our area. For total snowfall as we predict, you should go back to January 2018 or 2015 snowfall. The last storm in Boston had 2 feet of snow exactly 7 years ago, January 27, 2015: 24.6 ”… This will be our biggest January snowstorm in Boston’s recorded history.

Will this storm be recorded as one of our biggest storms ever recorded? Time will tell. The most important factor to look for when a storm arrives is strict control. During our most powerful snowstorms the jackpot areas will always be beneath severe snowstorms. It is very difficult to predict the exact location of these, with thunderstorms in the summer … very powerful and impacting a particular area, but beyond a few miles you will have a very different experience.

For Boston to set a record on Saturday, the city will have to spend several hours under one of these bands, reducing snowfall by more than 3 நேரத்தில் C per hour. The beach will be.The logs are hard to set … We have about 150 years of records in Boston.I do not care what the models say, there is a reason we have storms of 2 feet or more.I would estimate setting a record in the long shot.

Chronology:

Midnight – 7am ​​Saturday: In a good part of the southeast MA and at most parts of the south of the mass bike at midnight light snow begins to spread north. At 7 a.m. there will be snowfall south of New England and north of Manchester or Concord NH. By 7 a.m. the finish will be only a few inches north of the bike and 2-4 “south of the bike.

Saturday from 7 a.m. to 1 p.m .: The intensity of the snow is increasing by the hour through the heavier bands located on the southeast MA. By 10 a.m. we begin to see some heavy snowfall forming in the south and snowfall rates reaching 1-3 “per hour. In this window we can begin to approach blizzard levels, the wind is approaching their peak. By 1pm I am 3-6” north of the bike and on the bike. 6-12 in the south. ”

Saturday from 1pm to 7pm: The storm will be at its peak for most of this period. As the wind speed and the intensity of the snow peak together, we reach the white-discharge level in many areas, especially near the coast. In some areas the snow rate will be over 3 “per hour.

7pm – Midnight Saturday: The snow will be moderate and then slightly reduced and will be completely covered by midnight.

When shoveling / snowing:

In such a big storm, many may be thinking about taking two shifts to clean it up. It will be hard to get out in the middle of this storm. The wind is howling and the snow is so light and fluffy that you can take a section down the sidewalk and then after a few minutes find it covered again due to a big wind.

If it was me, I would wait until it was over. Let’s go out after 7pm. There may be an extra couple of inches after 7pm but you can get the majority. Or, heck, stay inside, put on a movie and clean it up on Sunday mornings! Then the air will be much lighter and the temperature will be the same (very cold … bundled).

Wind:

Wind gusts occur from 8 a.m. to 6 p.m., with a slow curve up / down in the hours before and after.

During the climax

At 60-75 mph along the entire immediate coastline from southern Maine via Cape Cod and the islands … this is where power outages and wind damage are most likely.
40-55 mph west of I95 back to about 495
25-40mph via most central and western MA

Coastal Flood:

We will get out of the bad situation by this storm. The highest astronomical wave of the day occurs at 8 a.m., which is the time of the storm. Therefore, we expect light to moderate flooding in the morning. The high tide in the evening, until 8-9 pm, is almost two feet (astronomically) lower than the morning tide.

So, when the wind blows and the sea is very turbulent, we have a little more room to move. Also, due to the high tide at night, the wind will turn more north-northwest, in a direction parallel to most parts of the coast. The exception will be on Cape Cod Bay and Cape Ann (north), those areas will be hardest hit in the evening.

How much snow:

• 12-18 ”across central and eastern MA, large part of southern New Hampshire and a good part of Cape Cod
• 6-12 ”West MA via Vermont
• 6-12 ”for outdoor cape and strap with very wet and heavy snow
• 18-28 ”This is especially important within the heavy bands that form on Saturdays, especially when it is difficult to predict. Southeastern MA (in Bristol and Plymouth districts) seems to have more potential for banding through Boston and Cape Ann… There may be another local jackpot in West Middlesex County and Worcester County.

Cotton Factor:

The snow will be very light and fluffy and the temperature will be very cold throughout the storm. The “normal” liquid to ice ratio is about 10: 1, which means 10 “snow for every inch of liquid.

We will constantly update the situation when new data arrives. To be safe, we ask that you wait. We will protect you on CBSBoston.com, WBZ-TV and CBS Boston News